Keir Giles’s Who Will Defend Europe? An Awakened Russia and a Sleeping Continent argues that Europe has spent three decades behaving as if history had ended, while Russia did the opposite. The Sleeping Continent is a verdict on political leadership, procurement culture, and the strategic habit of assuming the United States will keep turning up
If we want lasting peace, we cannot reward aggression. Because if aggression pays off, then aggression will continue, reminded, EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kaja Kallas in Zurich. Historically, empires change only when they lose their final colonial war, she said. In an interview in Zurich, discussing Russia’s negotiating tactics and
Kaja Kallas: Russia Has to Lose Its Last Colonial War Read More »
Major powers are behaving as if enforcement is optional. The US operation in Venezuela is the most dramatic illustration so far this year. China’s Taiwan drills are the most consequential rehearsal. Russia’s Ukraine campaign is the costliest grind. Together, they create a world where risk is not a forecast. Risk is a policy choice. Analysts
Global Crisis Hotspots in 2026: Escalations from Venezuela to Taiwan Read More »
In a surprise Christmas-timed boost to Kyiv, Japan has confirmed that it will send a substantial new package of financial support to Ukraine, combining fresh funding with accelerated repayment of G7 loans. The cumulative commitment is expected to total around $9 billion (€8.4 billion). Japan’s stance on Ukraine will not change, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae
Japan’s Christmas Gift to Ukraine: Tokyo Pledges €9 billion Support Read More »
The High North is now central to deterrence and surveillance. Russia has shifted focus northwards since Finland and Sweden joined NATO, extending NATO’s border with Russia by 1,340 km. Climate change is opening Arctic sea routes, prompting rivals to deploy advanced long-range weapons and drawing growing interest from China. New airborne early-warning technology offers triple
Airborne Early Warning in the Arctic Read More »
Sweden has taken a historic step towards becoming a major arms supplier to Ukraine, signing a letter of intent (LOI) covering the export of up to 150 Saab JAS-39 Gripen E fighters. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announced the plan at Saab’s Linköping headquarters. The deal, the largest defence-export framework in Swedish
Stockholm Opens Path for 150 Fighters to Ukraine Read More »
Drones have gone from gimmick to game-changer. In Ukraine, swarms of cheap UAVs now stalk everything from tanks to individual soldiers. Saab’s answer is a stripped-down drone killer designed for the battlefield’s new reality. The race is on: as RUSI observes, Russia today boasts “the most formidable counter-UAS capabilities on earth”. These cheap uncrewed systems—often
Drone Wars Rewrite the Rules of Armour and Air Defence Read More »
Norway is undertaking a once-in-a-generation military modernisation. It is also strongly supporting Ukraine in its war against Russia. The hybrid warfare is increasingly probing the Nordic region – from drone disturbances at airports and undersea cable sabotage to relentless GPS jamming – forcing Norway and its neighbours to reassess their defences. Against Russian pressure, Oslo
Norway’s Defence Surge: High North Tensions Read More »
Indifference or half-measures in the face of aggression embolden autocracies, reminds Carlo Masala, professor of international politics at Bundeswehr University Munich. Masala delivers a chilling geopolitical case study in his compact but sharply focused book Wenn Russland gewinnt. Ein Szenario (2025). Carlo Masala constructs a detailed hypothetical scenario whereby, in March 2028, after a formally concluded
Bunker Books: If Russia Wins: A Scenario (2025) by Carlo Masala Read More »
Poland has struck black gold off its northern coast, unveiling what experts call the country’s largest oil discovery ever – and one of Europe’s biggest in a decade. This finding could significantly strengthen Poland’s national and regional energy security. A Canadian exploration firm, Central European Petroleum (CEP), announced that its Wolin East-1 well, drilled just
Poland’s Baltic Oil Strike: Energy Security Boost Amid Green Transition Read More »
