When power is uncertain, fear becomes a tool. From Richard Nixon to Kim Jong-un, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, leaders have tried to weaponize unpredictability, convincing adversaries they might act without restraint. Controlled risk can force concessions, but once the
The Madman’s Bluff: Fear as Strategy from Hannibal to Trump Read More »
In discussions about drones, the first card typically played is “The battle tank is dead!” After a brief back-and-forth, the matter is dismissed by throwing down the “Drones are not wonder weapons” card. The first starts the conversation; the second
Drones Are Not Wonder Weapons Read More »
Ukraine’s drone strike on Russia’s Primorsk and Ust-Luga oil terminals has pushed the war into the narrow waters of the Gulf of Finland, less than 50 kilometres from NATO territory, and exposed a critical vulnerability in Moscow’s Baltic export system.
Bringing the War to NATO’s Northern Edge: Ukraine strikes Russia’s Baltic Oil Hub Read More »
For three decades, allied democracies treated nuclear weapons as an embarrassing inheritance: praise disarmament in public, renew the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT ) on schedule, condemn rogue proliferators, and quietly rely on the American umbrella to do the dirty work.
The Bomb Is Back: Allied Democracies Are Reopening the Nuclear File Read More »
China has dramatically tightened its grip on global technology supply chains by extending export controls on rare earths, adding five more elements to its list and imposing new licence requirements on semiconductor users, just weeks before Presidents Trump and Xi
Poland has struck black gold off its northern coast, unveiling what experts call the country’s largest oil discovery ever – and one of Europe’s biggest in a decade. This finding could significantly strengthen Poland’s national and regional energy security. A
Poland’s Baltic Oil Strike: Energy Security Boost Amid Green Transition Read More »
Denmark is dramatically boosting its Arctic surveillance capabilities by purchasing four over-the-horizon unmanned drones. Norway has also been studying long-range drones for its High North, eyeing the MQ-9B and other platforms for Arctic surveillance. This is a significant upgrade of
Arctic Defence: Denmark to Patrol Airspace with Over‑the‑Horizon Drones Read More »
China has mastered a subtle blend of economic coercion and cyber grey-zone tactics aimed at undermining Taiwan’s resilience—without ever firing a shot. Yet Taiwan, aware of what might lie ahead, has devoted itself to an asymmetric defence strategy that complements
Economic War Before the Shooting Starts: The Unseen Taiwan Playbook Read More »
For years, Ukrainian experts have warned that the Moscow Patriarchate’s church network often serves not just religious purposes but strategic ones. This suspicion – long evident in Ukraine – is now gaining traction across Europe, from Sweden and Norway to
Russian Orthodox Churches in Europe: Espionage Outposts Under the Guise of Faith Read More »
It takes roughly three months—sometimes less—for one side to blunt or neutralise a new weapon or tech deployed by the other. That time frame aligns with how Ukraine and Russia have structured their war economies: agile production, volunteer ecosystems, frontline
Accelerating Arms-Race: The Three‑Month Catch‑Up Read More »
