Analysis

Denmark and Hungary Vote Under Pressure as Foreign Influence Campaigns Shadow European Elections

Denmark went to the polls on amid heightened warnings of foreign interference, with intelligence services and European analysts pointing to sustained Russian influence activity in the final phase of the campaign. There is evidence of foreign attempts to interfere in elections in Germany, Hungary and Slovenia, too. The Hungarian Foreign Minister is accused of briefing

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Record Growth for Nordic Defence Industry Leaders โ€“ Kongsberg, Patria and Saab in 2025

Swedenโ€™s Saab AB, Norwayโ€™s Kongsberg Gruppen and Finlandโ€™s Patria each delivered outstanding results in 2025, reflecting a historic surge in European defence demand. All three reported double-digit revenue growth and record order backlogs. Together, they captured numerous major contracts and invested heavily to expand capacity. All three Nordic firms are clear beneficiaries of the unprecedented

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After Khamenei: Escalation Scenarios and the New Missile-Centric Gulf

The killing of Iranโ€™s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, in a joint USโ€“Israeli strike has pushed the region out of the long shadow war and into open, state-to-state coercion. Tehranโ€™s response, ballistic missiles, drones, and sustained pressure against Israel and US-linked targets across the Gulf, signals a new baseline. Now, it is about regime survival, alliance

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The Algorithmic Battlespace: How AI Is Rewriting the Rules of Influence

As leaders and security officials gathered in Munich, the most consequential shift in the information war was about the systems that decide what any of us sees in the first place. The latest analysis from NATOโ€™s Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence argues that power is draining from narratives and pooling instead in algorithms, recommendation engines

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European Defence Stocks Surge on Greenland Rift and Rising Budgets

Investors in Europeโ€™s defence industry are unintended winners from the Greenland drama, beyond Moscow and Beijing. Donald Trumpโ€™s threats towards Denmark have accelerated a trend already underway, as rising military budgets and doubts about the durability of US security guarantees push European arms makers to record valuations. Markets are treating rearmament less as a political

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GLOBAL Hotspots in 2026

Global Crisis Hotspots in 2026: Escalations from Venezuela to Taiwan

Major powers are behaving as if enforcement is optional. The US operation in Venezuela is the most dramatic illustration so far this year. Chinaโ€™s Taiwan drills are the most consequential rehearsal. Russiaโ€™s Ukraine campaign is the costliest grind. Together, they create a world where risk is not a forecast. Risk is a policy choice. Analysts

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